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Saturday, September 25, 2010

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Dr. William Beverly

Survey Reveals Alignment of Factors Against Ballot Initiatives

By William T. Beverly, Ph.D.

Walsenburg, Colorado, September 19, 2010 –

Of the 130 Coloradoans (53% Men and 47% Women) who responded to a recent poll / survey fielded via targeted email between August 25 to September 18, 2010 concerning upcoming Colorado Ballot Initiatives, it appears that a variety of Colorado’s registered voters are saying “No” to Amendments 60, 61 and Proposition 101 at rates of 72%, 73% and 72% (respectively).
The survey sample included 38% Republicans to 39% Democrats, with 17% Independents and 3% Libertarians, who were varied in their support and opposition. While Republicans tended to modestly oppose the three initiatives at the rate of 51%, 51% and 53%; the Democrats were more surely opposed at 90%, 90% and 92% against Amendments 60, 61 and Proposition 101 (respectively). Independents were less radically opposed at 76% across the board; while Libertarians were 100% for the initiatives.
The survey sample was somewhat representative of the State’s population distribution in that about 62% of responses came from the vote-rich more densely populated Denver and Colorado Springs areas, while about 18% came from Southeast Colorado, and about 20% from the Western Slope and Southwest Colorado. Respondents in Walsenburg were about 10-to-1 against the initiatives; while persons in Huerfano County, living outside of Walsenburg were only 3-to-1 against. On the other hand, in the Denver / Colorado Springs sub-sample, respondents were about 61%, 63% and 66% against Amendments 60, 61 and Proposition 101 (respectively).
One expected finding was that among the 69 respondents who work either for a government or non-profit agency, opposition to the initiatives was 86%, 86% and 88% (respectively); while among the 36 respondents who work either in a for profit business or who are self-employed, opposition to the initiatives was only about 56%, 56% and 53% respectively.
Three factors apparently aligning against Amendments 60, 61 and Proposition 101 are:
 Democrats overwhelmingly oppose these initiatives while a majority of Republicans appear to oppose them also;
 Vote-rich urban areas appear to be consistently opposing these initiatives; and
 Colorado’s heavily represented government and non-profit workforce are solidly opposed to all three initiatives.
Finally, Huerfano County respondents appear set to vote away these initiatives, although this could be more clearly demonstrated in Walsenburg than elsewhere in the County.
It is obvious that some very strong feelings have been tweaked here as nearly half of the sample voluntarily submitted paragraphs upon paragraphs about what they thought about these initiatives. These comments are likely to be helpful to future reports on this subject.
It should be noted that while this survey / poll has its representative value, and is presented as truthful and accurate; generalizing these results to a greater Colorado election is difficult and it is not possible to accurately predict the outcomes of the actual election due to numerous factors beyond our control. Polling about these issues will continue throughout the election. If you would like to participate, please go to: http://www.beverlyresearchlab.blogspot.com/ and tell us what you think.

The comments to this entry are closed.

Weekly Tax Tip

  • Voters to decide tax ballot questions -- In addition to voting for candidates on Nov. 4, voters in 11 states get to have their say about tax ballot questions. The tax topics include state income tax issues in Georgia, Tennessee and Illinois; real estate tax breaks for military veterans and their surviving spouses; gasoline tax rate increases; business taxes; and taxes on marijuana. The tax issues aren't just statewide. Some cities are voting on tax matters, too, such as soda tax proposals in Berkeley and San Francisco. While the overall number of ballot initiatives is down a bit in 2014, the questions that are going before the voters are getting a lot of financial support from advocates and opponents alike. More than $1 billion is expected to be spent on this year's ballot question campaigns. (Oct. 29, 2014)

  • Tax Tip; click pencil for all tax tip links

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  • Nov. 1: Hello November! We're thrilled you're here. Thanksgiving is a great holiday. But the only bird you want is the nicely browned one on your dinner table later this month.

    Thanksgiving turkey stuffed and cooked

    To ensure that's the case, it's time to make some moves to avoid tax turkeys that could cost you on your 2014 return.

    Nov. 4: On this election day, voters will have a major voice in more than just electing candidates for local, state and federal offices. Citizens nationwide will have a say on 146 ballot questions. In 11 states, 20 tax-related initiatives are on the ballots. Be sure to vote!

    Nov. 7: Looking for or already landed a seasonal job to bring in much-needed income or to earn some extra money for gift buying? Pay attention to how you're paid. Whether you're an independent contractor or an employee will make a difference in your taxes. As a contractor, you're responsible for paying self-employment taxes, as well as the income taxes that are usually withheld from employees' paychecks.

    Nov. 10: Does your job include tips? If so and you received $20 in tips in September, use Form 4070 to report them today to your employer. And don't forget to include the value of atypical tips.

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    Nov. 19: Analyze your portfolio. Roughly calculate your stock profits and losses so far this year so that you can do some tax planning before Dec. 31. If you have gains, they are taxed at rates generally lower than ordinary income; for some taxpayers, the capital gains rate is zero!

    But even losses could be tax winners. They can help offset any gains to reduce your potential overall tax bill. And if you have more losses than gain, you can deduct up to $3,000 a year against your ordinary income until you use up those losses.

    P.S. -- If you have that much in losses to keep carrying forward, get a new investment adviser!

    Nov. 26: If you're heading over the river and through the woods to grandma's for Thanksgiving, your travel costs are all your own.

    But if you're doing some business traveling this holiday week or any other time of the year, document it so you can deduct those costs. For business driving, you can claim either the actual miles you drive or take the standard mileage deduction.

    Nov. 27: Happy Thanksgiving! Take a break from taxes for turkey, football, and time with your family.

    Nov. 30: The Atlantic hurricane season officially ends today.



    If you're not already prepared, get that way. The ol' blog's special Natural Disasters Resources page can help with preparation, recovery and ways to help others who sustain storm damages.

    Small Business Tax Calendar: Important filing, deposit and record keeping dates throughout the year that your company needs to know. You also can view the full year's important business tax dates in IRS Pub. 509.

State Tax Help

  • Don't forget your state taxes!
    Forty-three states and D.C. collect personal income taxes. But even if you live in of the seven states without an income levy, you still face other state (and local) taxes.

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